Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 5.923981 6.513302 7.162945 7.937345 8.842140 9.874389 11.153585
2024-10-20 4.852593 5.599752 6.486792 7.635856 9.113184 10.990502 13.629517
2024-10-27 4.261865 5.070765 6.078204 7.458502 9.357555 11.974001 16.044557
2024-11-03 3.885547 4.732821 5.828177 7.398156 9.683830 13.063202 18.838224
2024-11-10 3.762311 4.693437 5.944419 7.825322 10.739141 15.410937 24.365525
2024-11-17 3.578048 4.546121 5.886232 7.979543 11.392876 17.261525 29.762902
2024-11-24 3.337709 4.295996 5.651152 7.827561 11.514742 18.206349 33.748148
2024-12-01 3.166327 4.127183 5.514760 7.805964 11.842413 19.598104 39.432261
2024-12-08 2.980071 3.921750 5.303568 7.634854 11.870839 20.397102 44.080140
2024-12-15 2.848327 3.786357 5.186375 7.603578 12.146844 21.783031 51.307728
2024-12-22 2.727195 3.658116 5.068865 7.556374 12.380868 23.138163 59.536331
2024-12-29 2.675195 3.630285 5.106608 7.782917 13.197609 26.141691 76.951263
2025-01-05 2.510808 3.429268 4.864771 7.508253 12.988567 26.644572 85.589643
2025-01-12 2.357284 3.238690 4.630389 7.230851 12.747216 27.053915 95.082693
2025-01-19 2.239263 3.096768 4.466159 7.067172 12.730850 28.121326 110.654659
2025-01-26 2.150925 2.996575 4.364418 7.011437 12.952577 30.021370 136.940007
2025-02-02 2.143785 3.025674 4.484930 7.405606 14.338836 36.527450 233.315314
2025-02-09 2.096710 2.986159 4.481619 7.547711 15.132176 41.525563 366.417124
2025-02-16 2.012123 2.879696 4.351036 7.407670 15.144238 43.403624 477.753749
2025-02-23 1.950630 2.808766 4.279976 7.387762 15.489320 47.048414 732.518816
2025-03-02 1.874804 2.709998 4.151754 7.229955 15.409210 48.669955 999.694178
2025-03-09 1.820979 2.646225 4.084440 7.201096 15.709367 52.543908 1778.850806
2025-03-16 1.768738 2.582754 4.013770 7.157532 15.959007 56.440895 3688.393032